Who Plans What for Whom Under the “Iron Law” of Megaprojects? The Discourse Analysis of the Belgrade Waterfront Project
Abstract
Urban megaprojects exhibit various distortions: special regulations, budget overrun, additional funding sources, long-term timeframes, and ad-hoc actor networks. Coping with such challenges seems to be demanding even for the welfare states and advanced democracies built upon the governmental control of megaproject development. Therefore, it is interesting to observe the nature of urban governance of megaproject development in a transitional society facing immature institutional and regulatory frameworks. Against such background, this article examines the main forces behind the flagship project of contemporary Serbia—the Belgrade Waterfront megaproject. By collecting 38 articles from the daily press, the paper identifies relevant stakeholders and present their statements to depict their positions, interests, and specific value frameworks. Using the discourse analysis to interpret the statements, the paper offers the following results: first, recognition of conflicts and coalitions; second, elucidation of the decision-making flows, and third, identification of power structures in the mentioned project. In addition, valuable insights into the problematic contextual features, e.g., tycoon-initiated urban development, the politics-led planning process, and weak civil engagement mechanisms, are elucidated. Concluding lessons on how to curb the extra-nature of urban megaprojects appear relevant for similar socio-spatial settings.
References
- Blic, 2013 (August 1). Đilas: “Beograd na vodi” i metro promeniće sliku grada [Djilas: “Belgrade Waterfront” and the metro will change the image of the city]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/djilas-beograd-na-vodi-i-metro-promenice-sliku-grada/yvyf8r3
- Blic, 2014a (January 9). Vučić: Al Abar u Beograd na vodi ulaže 3,1 milijardu dolara [Vučić: Alabbar invests $ 3.1 billion in Belgrade Waterfront]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/ekonomija/vucic-al-abar-u-beograd-na-vodi-ulaze-31-milijardu-dolara/2wznz6j
- Blic, 2014b (January, 19). Stefanović: Beograd na vodi budućnost za grad i Beograđane [Stefanović: Belgrade Waterfront is the future for the city and the people of Belgrade]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/stefanovic-beograd-na-vodi-buducnost-za-grad-i-beogradane/wsepqlv
- Blic, 2014c (January, 20). Vućić o “Beogradu na vodi”: Posao će biti završen [Vučić on “Belgrade Waterfront”: Work will be completed]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/politika/vucic-o-beogradu-na-vodi-posao-ce-biti-zavrsen/bex1vzv
- Blic, 2014d (January 20). Transparentnost Srbija: Da li je za Beograd na vodi isključena konkurencija? [Transparency Serbia’: Is competition excluded for Belgrade Waterfront?]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/transparentnost-srbija-da-li-je-za-beograd-na-vodi-iskljucena-konkurencija/zgk7pk5
- Blic, 2014e (March 1). U Dubaiju predstavljanje, u Kanu premijera Beograda na vodi [Presentation in Dubai, premiere of Belgrade Waterfront in Cannes]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/u-dubaiju-predstavljanje-u-kanu-premijera-beograda-na-vodi/ssmb4b3
- Blic, 2014f (June 27). Otkrivena maketa ovo je “Beograd na vodi” [Model discovered: This is “Belgrade Waterfront”]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/otkrivena-maketa-ovo-je-beograd-na-vodi/hc5ny4k
- Blic, 2015 (March 6). Arhitekte: Hitno obustaviti projekat Beograd na void [Architects: Urgently suspend the Belgrade Waterfront project]. Blic. https://www.blic.rs/vesti/beograd/arhitekte-hitno-obustaviti-projekat-beograd-na-vodi/6y1zc7m
- Brenner, N. (2004). New state spaces: Urban governance and rescaling of statehood. Oxford University Press.
- Brenner, N. (2019). New urban spaces: Urban theory and the scale question. Oxford University Press.
- Bruff, I. (2014). The rise of authoritarian neoliberalism. Rethinking Marxism. A Journal of Economics, Culture and Society, 26(1), 113–129. https://doi.org/10.1080/08935696.2013.843250
- Bruff, I. (2016). Neoliberalism and authoritarianism. In S. Springer, K. Birch, & J. MacLeavy (Eds.), The handbook of neoliberalism (pp. 107–117). Routlegde.
- Cook, A. (2010). The expatriate real estate complex: Creative destruction and the production of luxury in post-socialist Prague. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 34(3), 611–628. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2427.2010.00912.x
- Cope, B. (2015). Euro 2012 in Poland: Recalibrations of statehood in Eastern Europe. European Urban and Regional Studies, 22(2), 161–175. https://doi.org/10.1177/0969776414535418
- Danas, 2014a (January 20). Marić, I. Raspisati konkurs za projekat “Beograd na vodi” [Announce a competition for the project Belgrade Waterfront]. Danas. https://www.danas.rs/vesti/beograd/raspisati-konkurs-za-projekat-beograd-na-vodi/
- Danas, 2014b (November, 15). Sa plovcima i pesmom protiv “Beograd na vodi” [With swim rings and a song against “Belgrade Waterfront”]. Danas. https://www.danas.rs/vesti/beograd/slaufima-i-pesmom-protiv-beograda-na-vodi/
- Danas, 2015a (March 10). Mali: Sve što radimo je transparentno [Mali: Everything we do is transparent]. Danas. https://www.danas.rs/vesti/beograd/mali-sve-sto-radimo-je-transparentno-2/
- Danas, 2015b (March 29). V. J. Advokati: Projekat “Beograd na vodi” neustavan [Lawyers: “Belgrade Waterfront” project is unconstitutional]. Danas. https://www.danas.rs/vesti/drustvo/advokati-projekat-beograd-na-vodi-neustavan-2/
- del Cerro Santamaria, G. (Ed.). (2013). Urban megaprojects: A worldwide view. Emerald books. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1047-0042(2013)0000013021
- Diaz Orueta, F., & Fainstein, S. S. (2008). The new mega-projects: Genesis and impacts. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 32(4), 759–767. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2427.2008.00829.x
- Di Giovanni, A. (2016). Urban transformation under authoritarian neoliberalism. In C. B. Tansel (Ed.), States of discipline: Authoritarian neoliberalism and the contested reproduction of capitalist order (pp. 107–128). Rowman and Littlefield.
- Djurasović, A. (2016, February 1). Rethinking large-scale development projects in Belgrade and Zagreb. UNIRI CAS SEE. https://cas.uniri.hr/aleksandra-djurasovic/
- Fainstein, S. S. (2001). The city builders. University of Kansas Press.
- Fainstein, S. S. (2008). Mega-projects in New York, London and Amsterdam. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 32(4), 768–785. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2427.2008.00826.x
- Fairclough, N. (2003). Analysing discourse: Textual analysis for social research. Routledge.
- Fairclough, N., Graham, P., Lemke, J., & Wodak, R. (2004). Introduction. Critical Discourse Studies, 1(1), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1080/17405900410001674489
- Flyvbjerg, B. (2009). Survival of the unfittest: Why the worst infrastructure gets build and what can do about it. Oxford Review Economic Policy, 25(3), 344–367. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grp024
- Flyvbjerg, B. (2014). What you should know about megaprojects and why: An overview. Project Management Journal, 45(2), 6–19. https://doi.org/10.1002/pmj.21409
- Flyvbjerg, B. (2017). Introduction: The iron law of megaproject management. In B. Flyvbjerg (Ed.), The Oxford handbook of megaproject management (pp. 1–18). Oxford University Press.
- Freedom in the World 2019. Serbia. (2019). Freedom House. https://freedomhouse.org/country/serbia/freedom-world/2019
- Freedom in the world 2022. Serbia. (2022). Freedom House. https://freedomhouse.org/country/serbia/freedom-world/2022
- Getimis, P. (2012). Comparing spatial planning systems and planning cultures in Europe. Planning Practice and Research, 27(1), 25–40. https://doi.org/10.1080/02697459.2012.659520
- Grubbauer, M., & Čamprag, N. (2018). Urban megaprojects, nation-state politics and regulatory capitalism in Central and Eastern Europe: The Belgrade Waterfront project. Urban Studies, 56(4), 649–671. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098018757663
- Hajer, M. A. (2006). Doing discourse analysis: Coalitions, practices, meaning. In M. van den Brink & T. Metze (Eds.), Words matter in policy and planning—Discourse theory and method in the social sciences (pp. 65–74). Utrecht.
- Jacobs, K. (2006). Discourse analysis and its utility for urban policy research. Urban Policy and Research, 24(1), 39–52. https://doi.org/10.1080/08111140600590817
- Keresztély, K., & Scott, J. W. (2012). Urban regeneration in the post-socialist context: Budapest and the search for a social dimension. European Planning Studies, 20(7), 1111–1134. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2012.674346
- Lee, C. C. M. (2012). The fourth typology: Dominant type and the idea of the city [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. TU Delft.
- Lees, L. (2004). Urban geography: discourse analysis and urban
research. Progress in Human Geography, 28(1), 101–107. https://doi.org/10.1191/0309132504ph473pr - Machala, B., & Koelemaij, J. (2019). Post-socialist urban futures: Decisionmaking dynamics behind large-scale urban waterfront development in Belgrade and Bratislava. Urban Planning, 4(4), 6–17. https://doi.org/0.17645/up.v4i4.2261
- Nations in Transit 2020. Serbia. (2020). Freedom House. https://freedomhouse.org/country/serbia/nations-transit/2020
- Perić, A. (2020a). Citizen participation in transitional society: The evolution of participatory planning in Serbia. In M. Lauria & C. Schively Slotterback (Eds.), Learning from Arnstein’s ladder: From citizen participation to public engagement (pp. 91–109). Routledge.
- Perić, A. (2020b). Public engagement under authoritarian entrepreneurialism: the Belgrade Waterfront project. Urban Research and Practice, 13(2), 213–227. https://doi.org/10.1080/17535069.2019.1670469
- Perić, A., & D’hondt, F. (2020). Squandering the territorial capital in the Balkans? Urban megaprojects between global trends and local incentives. Urban Design International. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41289-020-00146-2
- Perić, A., & Hoch, C. (2017). Spatial planning across European planning systems and social models: A look through the lens of planning cultures of Switzerland, Greece and Serbia. In J. Antunes Ferreira, J. M. Simões, S. Morgado, E. Marques da Costa, J. Cabral, I. Loupa Ramos, J. Batista e Silva, & M. Baptista-Bastos (Eds.), Book of Proceedings: AESOP 2017 conference: Spaces of dialog for places of dignity: fostering the European dimension of planning (pp. 1247–1258). University of Lisbon. https://doi.org/10.24306/aeprints.18
- Perić, A., & Maruna, M. (2012). Predstavnici društvene akcije u procesu regeneracijepriobalja—slučaj braunfild lokacije „Luka Beograd” [The Representatives of social action in waterfront regeneration—the case of the brownfield site “Belgrade Port”]. Sociologija i prostor: časopis za istraživanje prostornoga i sociokulturnog razvoja, 50(1), 61–88. https://doi.org/10.5673/sip.50.1.4
- Piletić, A. (2022). The role of the urban scale in anchoring authoritarian neoliberalism: a look at post-2012 neoliberalization in Belgrade, Serbia. Globalizations, 19(2), 285–300. https://doi.org/10.1080/14747731.2021.1882817
- Politika, 2012 (April 20). Rudolf Đulijani u poseti Beogradu i SNS [Rudolf Giuliani in Belgrade at the invitation of the Progressives]. Politika. https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/215894/Rudolf-Dulijani-u-poseti-Beogradu-i-SNS
- Politika, 2013 (December 24). Mučibabić, D. & Vukasović, V. Emirati finansiraju tržni centar „Beograda na vodi” [Emirates finances Belgrade Waterfront shopping center]. Politika. https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/279460/Emirati-finansiraju-trzni-centar-Beograda-na-vodi
- Politika, 2014a (October 5). Mučibabić, D. “Beograd na void” neće biti džungla oblakodera [“Belgrade Waterfront” will not be a jungle of skyscrapers]. Politika. https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/307045/Beograd-na-vodi-nece-biti-dzungla-oblakodera
- Politika, 2014b (November 6). D. M. – V. V. SANU iznela 22 stranice primedaba na „Beograd na vodi” [SANU presented 22 pages of remarks on “Belgrade Waterfront”]. Politika. https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/310007/SANU-iznela-22-stranice-primedaba-na-Beograd-na-vodi
- The amendments on the master plan of Belgrade. (2014, September 18). Sluzhbeni list grada Beograda, 70. http://sllistbeograd.rs/pdf/2014/70-2014.pdf#view=Fit&page=1
- Uredba o utvrđivanju prostornog plana područja posebne namene uređenja dela priobalja grada Beograda—područje priobalja reke Save za projekat “Beograd na Vodi” [Regulation on the special use spatial for the waterfront of the River Sava for the Belgrade Waterfront project]. (2014). http://demo.paragraf.rs/demo/combined/Old/t/t2015_01/t01_0310.htm
- Vujošević, M. (2010). Collapse of strategic thinking, research and governance in Serbia and possible role of the spatial plan of the Republic of Serbia (2010) and its renewal. Spatium, 23, 22–29. https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT1023022V
- Zakon o planiranju i izgradnji [The law on planning and construction]. (2014). https://www.mgsi.gov.rs/sites/default/files/ZAKON%20O%20PLANIRANJU%20I%20IZGRADNJI%20PRECTEKST%202015.pdf
- Zakon o potvrđivanju sporazuma o saradnji između Vlade Republike Srbije i Vlade Ujedinjenih Arapskih Emirata [The law confirming the agreement on cooperation between the Government of the Republic of Serbia and the Government of United Arab Emirates]. (2013). http://www.parlament.gov.rs/upload/archive/files/lat/pdf/zakoni/2013/817-13Lat.pdf
- Zakon o utvrđivanju javnog interesa i posebnim postupcima eksproprijacije i izdavanja građevinske dozvole radi realizacije projekta “Beograd na Vodi” [The law on establishing the public interest and special procedures of expropriation and the issuance of building permit for the project “Belgrade Waterfront”]. (2015). http://www.parlament.gov.rs/upload/archive/files/cir/pdf/zakoni/2015/547-15.pdf
- Zdunić, N. (2017). Political elites and urban social movements in Croatia: Political opportunities of the citizens’ initiative Srđ Is Ours. OZP—Austrian Journal of Political Science, 45(4), 19–28. https://doi.org/10.15203/ozp.1108.vol45iss4
- Zeković, S. & Maričić, T. (2022). Contemporary governance of urban megaprojects: A case study of the Belgrade Waterfront. Territory, Politics, Governance, 10(4), 527–548. https://doi.org/10.1080/21622671.2020.1774410
- Zeković, S., Maričić, T., & Vujošević, M. (2018). Megaprojects as an instrument of urban planning and development: Example of Belgrade Waterfront. In S. Hostetter, S. Najih Besson, & J. C. Bolay (Eds.), Technologies for development: From innovation to social impact (pp. 153–164). Springer.